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Goldman Sachs Raises US Recession Risk Amid Stagflation Concerns and Tariff Uncertainty

Goldman Sachs has raised its U.S. recession probability from 20% to 35%, reflecting a significant shift in economic outlook, now incorporating a "stagflationary twist." The firm projects inflation to reach 3.5% in 2025 and GDP growth to slow to 1.0%. Market sentiment remains cautious ahead of upcoming tariff announcements and key economic reports.

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